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Tightening diesel supplies raise concerns as global oil inventories decline

Diesel shortages are emerging as a growing concern for global energy markets, with prices rising faster than gasoline and declining oil inventories increasing the risk of supply disruptions.

In an interview with CNBC TV18, Christof Rühl, Global Advisor at Crystol Energy, discussed why tightening diesel supplies could have serious consequences for global economic activity, inflation and energy security, particularly in countries such as India.

Christof Rühl, Global Advisor at Crystol Energy, discusses tightening diesel supplies, declining oil inventories and risks to global economic activity in an interview with CNBC TV18

Key takeaways:

  • Diesel prices have risen roughly twice as fast as gasoline prices since the summer, highlighting growing pressure on a fuel that is essential to global transport and industrial activity.

  • Unlike gasoline, where consumers can reduce their driving, diesel shortages can directly disrupt the movement of goods and industrial operations, potentially accelerating inflation.

  • Global oil inventories have been declining for more than seven months, leaving markets increasingly exposed to further supply disruptions and creating additional risks for countries such as India.

  • Despite being the world’s largest petroleum producer and a major diesel exporter, the United States has considered restricting diesel exports even without experiencing physical domestic shortages.

  • US pressure on European and G7 countries to release strategic diesel reserves earlier than planned raises questions about international coordination and the collective energy security arrangements established under the International Energy Agency.

  • Spot prices for crude oil and refined products are trading significantly above futures prices, suggesting that while markets expect supply conditions to ease over time, buyers requiring immediate deliveries face substantially higher costs. 

Related Comments

“Iran War: Asia most at risk in an LNG shortage“, Christof Rühl, Mar 2026 

“US and Israel launch major military strikes on oil-rich Iran“, Dr Carole Nakhle, Feb 2026

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