Dr Nakhle comments on the latest publication of IMF’s World Economic Outlook, arguing that a v-shaped recovery continues to be expected but also continues to be delayed, and the question is when growth will return to pre Covid levels.
She also discusses OPEC+’s success to put a floor on prices over the last few months, highlighting though that the challenging mission for the group will now be to restore prices to pre-coronavirus levels. She also points out the worryingly rising spare capacity, which is often overlooked, arguing that historically when OPEC has been struggling to maintain discipline within the group has been during periods with high spare capacity.
Dr Nakhle further comments on the recent talks, which took place for the first time, between Lebanon and Israel to discuss maritime borders, pointing out the potential deeper geopolitical implications of that development not just for East Med but also for the Middle East.
In this commentary, she is joined by Dr Aldo Flores Quiroga, Former Deputy Secretary of Energy for Hydrocarbons Mexico’s Ministry of Energy, and Vandana Hari, Founder & CEO at Vanda Insights. Sean Evers, Managing Partner at the Gulf Intelligence.
“Oil market outlook: sailing in the dark”, Dr Carole Nakhle, Sep 2020
“Oil Market Outlook: A Quandary of OPEC+”, Dr Carole Nakhle, Aug 2020
“Oil market outlook: A cautious global recovery”, Dr Carole Nakhle, Jul 2020
“The Oil & Gas Sector of Lebanon: What we need to know with Dr Carole Nakhle”, Dr Carole Nakhle, Oct 2020
“Weekly update on global economy and oil markets”, Christof Ruehl, Oct 2020